(RightWing.org) – When it comes to presidential elections, there are two voter bases Democrats can normally count on: the black and Hispanic populations. However, with President Joe Biden in office, it seems support in these demographics has waned. A recent survey by Gallup took a look at the changes over the past three years and its findings indicate Democrats may have something to worry about.
Gallup Poll Showcases Drop in Demographical Support
Gallup recently combined several polls from last year and examined the data within. The results show that Democrats are losing ground among registered black and Hispanic voters, with nearly a 20-point drop since Biden took office. In 2021, 62% of black adults were either Democrats or leaned Democratic. That figure is now at 47%, a 15-point decrease in just two years. Additionally, Hispanics who aligned with or leaned Democrat dropped from 31% to 12%, a 19% decrease. This spells trouble for a Democratic Party that needs all of the support it can garner for this November.
Other Disparities
The survey also noted that there’s a disparity among education levels, with those who have college educations, including graduate degrees, leaning or identifying as a Democrat. The postgraduate education level saw the biggest upswing, a 29-point increase since 2021, while those with no college education went from +14 Democrat to +14 Republican over the past 22 years.
Typically, the Left could rely on younger generations, but even that group has declined in support. As of 2023, the age bracket of 18 to 29-year-olds fell to eight points, the slimmest it has been since 2005. Each age bracket thereafter — 30 to 49, 50 to 64, and 65+ — leans more and more Republican. The 50 to 64 age group remains the least Democratic for the fourth year in a row.
As far as gender goes, more women identify as Democrats and men lean Republican. But even women’s support has dropped 8 percentage points from 17% to 9% from 2021 to 2023. Men have continued on the same downward trend, changing from -8 to -15, basically keeping the disparity between the two genders steady.
The poll involved several combined surveys from 2023, which consisted of 12,145 adults and a 1% margin of error.
What This Means
With the 2024 election rapidly approaching and looking more and more like a repeat of 2020, the Biden Administration has a lot of work to do in garnering support. However, it may be too late, as Trump has already gained a lot of ground with the black and Hispanic demographics. Though the voter bases still tend to lean Democratic, the showing at the polls will tell the true tale of how drastically they’ve shifted.
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